Corentin Denolly vs Carles Hernandez Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Denolly has a slightly lower second serve points win rate at 42.47% compared to Hernandez's 43.5%, suggesting a minor disadvantage on serve.
• Denolly excels in returning their opponent's second serve with a 49.85% win rate, surpassing Hernandez's 48.06%, offering a slight edge in return games.
• Conversely, Hernandez outperforms Denolly on first serve return points with 31.51%, while Denolly manages 30.03%.
• Facing breakpoints, Hernandez has a higher saving rate at 53.3% compared to Denolly’s 51.42%, indicating resilience under pressure.
• Overall match win rates are close: Denolly at 55.74% and Hernandez at 56.41%, indicating evenly matched performance levels over the past year.
• On surface performance, Denolly is strongest on clay with a 65% win rate, whereas Hernandez thrives on hard courts with a 63% success rate.
• Denolly primarily competes in Challengers/ITF tournaments, winning 36.36% of such matches, while Hernandez frequently plays in lower-tier Futures events, winning 56.41% of his matches.
• In terms of opponent caliber, Hernandez tends to face higher-ranked players, with an average rank of 215.69 against Denolly's 299.11.
• Denolly is superior in deciding set scenarios, winning 59% of them as opposed to Hernandez's 41% success rate.
• Lastly, in converting breakpoints, Hernandez is slightly more proficient with a 37.9% conversion compared to Denolly's 35.29%.

Editorial Prediction (August 27, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing both players' recent performances and statistics offers a detailed picture of their current form and strengths.

Denolly shows promise in return games, especially on his opponents' second serve, which could pressure Hernandez's service games.

In contrast, Hernandez demonstrates reliability under pressure, as reflected in his higher breakpoint save percentage and superior performance on his favored surface.

Though Denolly's strength in deciding sets could be a critical factor if the match extends, Hernandez's consistency in match wins and slightly higher conversion rates gives him a strategic advantage.

Considering the statistics and trends, Hernandez appears to have the edge for this upcoming match and is most likely to emerge victorious.